I watched it. Still don’t understand it. Advanced Football Analytics has a great breakdown of the win probability model and how it went so bad for Green Bay.
Ignore the failures of Green Bay in scoring TDs in the first half. Ignore the fake-field goal TD for Seattle. All GB had to do was
-Stop Seattle’s drive when the score was 19-7
-Get some first downs to kill the clock
-Stop Seattle’s drive when the score was 19-14
-Stop the hail mary two point conversion
-Score a TD instead of a FG when score was 19-22
-Win the coin toss
-Stop Seattle’s drive in overtime
Any of the above.
Insane hail mary two point conversion. How does this work?